1. 一次性塑料快餐盒定义及分类一次性塑料快餐盒是一种由聚丙烯树脂或其他热塑性材料经高温热熔塑料注塑成型技术加工而成的器具。就应用而言，一次性塑料快餐盒可分为午餐盒、鲜切及腌制水果盒、半成品食品盒及其他。就原材料而言，一次性塑料快餐盒主要分类为聚丙烯(“P P”)快餐盒、聚苯乙烯(“ PS ”)快餐盒及发泡聚苯乙烯(“EPS”)快餐盒。与其他两种原材料相比，PP塑料快餐盒耐热性能高，是唯一一种能够于微波炉加热的快餐盒。PP塑料快餐盒因其化学稳定性高及抗腐蚀性效果好，可适用于几乎所有的食品及饮料。PP、PS及EPS降解的时间各不相同，视乎降解的环境条件而定。倘均于同一环境下填埋于填埋场，PP及PS塑料快餐盒分别需要约20至30年及40至50年降解，而EPS塑料快餐盒则需要上百年时间降解。然而，倘该等快餐盒暴露于特定元素，例如阳光、水分及空气，则将会加快降解。同时，由于中国政府正积极大力投资环保，容易回收及可通过于生产快餐盒时加入降解材料(例如淀粉材料、光敏剂及生物抑制剂)加速分解的PP塑料快餐盒成为中国一次性塑料快餐盒行业的主流。然而，生物降解一次性塑料快餐盒的成本远高于传统的一次性塑料快餐盒，因此生物降解一次性塑料快餐盒的普及度相对较低。

　　1. Definition and Classification of Disposable Plastic Fast Food Boxes Disposable plastic fast food boxes are appliances made of polypropylene resin or other thermoplastic materials processed by high-temperature hot melt plastic injection molding technology. In terms of application, disposable plastic fast food boxes can be divided into lunch boxes, fresh cut and pickled fruit boxes, semi-finished food boxes, and others. In terms of raw materials, disposable plastic fast food boxes are mainly classified into polypropylene ("PP") fast food boxes, polystyrene ("PS") fast food boxes, and expanded polystyrene ("EPS") fast food boxes. Compared with the other two raw materials, PP plastic fast food box has high heat resistance and is the only fast food box that can be heated in a microwave oven. PP plastic fast food boxes are suitable for almost all types of food and beverages due to their high chemical stability and good corrosion resistance. The degradation time of PP, PS, and EPS varies depending on the environmental conditions of degradation. If both are buried in the same environment in a landfill site, PP and PS plastic fast food boxes require about 20 to 30 years and 40 to 50 years to degrade, respectively, while EPS plastic fast food boxes require hundreds of years to degrade. However, if these fast food boxes are exposed to specific elements such as sunlight, moisture, and air, they will accelerate degradation. At the same time, due to the Chinese government's active investment in environmental protection, PP plastic fast food boxes that are easy to recycle and can be accelerated by adding degradable materials (such as starch materials, photosensitizers, and biological inhibitors) during the production of fast food boxes have become the main stream of China's disposable plastic fast food box industry. However, the cost of biodegradable disposable plastic fast food boxes is much higher than that of traditional disposable plastic fast food boxes, so the popularity of biodegradable disposable plastic fast food boxes is relatively low.

　　2. 产业链分析

　　2. Industry chain analysis

　　一次性塑料快餐盒行业价值链包括PP、PS及EPS上游供应商，PP、PS及EPS为一次性塑料快餐盒的主要原材料。中游参与者指生产各种外观及用途的一次性塑料快餐盒如液体食品及固体食品快餐盒制造商。下游应用主要包括餐饮市场及食品外卖市场。

　　The value chain of the disposable plastic fast food box industry includes upstream suppliers of PP, PS, and EPS, which are the main raw materials for disposable plastic fast food boxes. Midstream participants refer to manufacturers of disposable plastic fast food boxes with various appearances and uses, such as liquid and solid food fast food boxes. The downstream applications mainly include the catering market and the food delivery market.

　　3. 中国一次性塑料快餐盒行业市场规模

　　3. Market size of disposable plastic fast food box industry in China

　　就2022年的销售收益而言，中国是世界上一次性塑料快餐盒产量最大的国家，约占全球销售收益的45.9%。近年来，随着一次性塑料快餐盒行业主要应用的食品外卖市场的快速发展、人口增长及城镇化率的提高，以及环保PP一次性塑料快餐盒的普及，中国的一次性塑料快餐盒行业的销售收益经历了快速增长。于2022年，预期一次性塑料快餐盒的销售收益将达约人民币191亿元，2017年至2022年的复合年增长率约为21.0 %。

　　In terms of sales revenue in 2022, China is the country with the largest production of disposable plastic fast food boxes in the world, accounting for approximately 45.9% of global sales revenue. In recent years, with the rapid development of the food delivery market, population growth and urbanization rate, as well as the popularity of environmentally friendly PP disposable plastic fast food boxes, the sales revenue of China's disposable plastic fast food box industry has experienced rapid growth. In 2022, it is expected that the sales revenue of disposable plastic fast food boxes will reach approximately RMB 19.1 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 21.0% from 2017 to 2022.

　　于2022年，PP快餐盒于各类一次性塑料快餐盒中占比最大。2020年以来，在 COVID-19疫情爆发期间，由于堂食受限，更多餐厅开始提供外卖服务，因而一次性塑料快餐盒的销售收益大幅增加。此外，为了满足下游的旺盛需求，2020年以来更多的PP树脂产能得以释放，增加了PP一次性塑料快餐盒的产量。

　　In 2022, PP fast food boxes accounted for the largest proportion among various disposable plastic fast food boxes. Since 2020, during the outbreak of COVID-19, due to restrictions on dine in, more restaurants have started offering takeaway services, resulting in a significant increase in sales revenue for disposable plastic fast food boxes. In addition, in order to meet the strong demand downstream, more PP resin production capacity has been released since 2020, increasing the production of PP disposable plastic fast food boxes.

　　未来，预期食品外卖市场及餐饮市场将维持稳定增长，且预计鲜切水果及半成品食物等非餐馆食物的流行将刺激一次性塑料快餐盒的需求。于2027年，预期一次性塑料快餐盒的销售收益将达约人民币297亿元，2022年至2027年的复合年增长率约为9.2%。于2027年，PP快餐盒预计将于一次性塑料快餐盒行业占得优势，其市场份额约为74.7%。

　　In the future, it is expected that the food delivery market and catering market will maintain stable growth, and the popularity of non restaurant foods such as fresh cut fruits and semi-finished foods is expected to stimulate the demand for disposable plastic fast food boxes. By 2027, it is expected that the sales revenue of disposable plastic fast food boxes will reach approximately RMB 29.7 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 9.2% from 2022 to 2027. By 2027, PP fast food boxes are expected to have an advantage in the disposable plastic fast food box industry, with a market share of approximately 74.7%.

　　根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，目前，尽管一些替代品可能会挤压PP一次性塑料快餐盒的市场份额，如纸质餐盒及淀粉基餐盒，但PP一次性塑料快餐盒在预测期内(2027年之前)无法被完全取代，主要由于中餐的高油量、高温和液态形式，而纸质餐盒、淀粉基餐盒的稳定性、耐热性及密封性能较差。在预测期内(2027之前)，中国人的用餐习惯预计保持不变，PP一次性塑料快餐盒仍将是食品外卖市场上最合适的餐盒。

　　According to the Frost Sullivan report, currently, although some alternatives may squeeze the market share of PP disposable plastic fast food boxes, such as paper meal boxes and starch based meal boxes, PP disposable plastic fast food boxes cannot be completely replaced during the forecast period (before 2027), mainly due to the high oil content, high temperature, and liquid form of Chinese food, while the stability, heat resistance, and sealing performance of paper meal boxes and starch based meal boxes are poor. During the forecast period (before 2027), the eating habits of Chinese people are expected to remain unchanged, and PP disposable plastic fast food boxes will still be the most suitable ones in the food delivery market.

　　4. 原材料价格

　　4. Raw material prices

　　PP是生产一次性塑料快餐盒的主要原料之一。2021年前，PP的平均价格受原油价格波动的影响。2022年，由于紧张的国际局势及俄乌战争，原油平均价格飙升，由于俄罗斯是仅次于沙特阿拉伯的世界第二大原油出口国。2022年，PP的平均价格下降至每吨约人民币8,254.5元左右，主要由于PP释放更多产能及PP供需稳定。2022年，PP一次性塑料快餐盒的平均价格范围为每个人民币0.06元至人民币1.65元。未来，PP的平均价格预计保持相对稳定，2022年至2027年的复合年增长率约为0.7%， 2027年将达到约每吨人民币8,551.0元。

　　PP is one of the main raw materials for producing disposable plastic fast food boxes. Before 2021, the average price of PP was affected by fluctuations in crude oil prices. In 2022, due to the tense international situation and the Russia Ukraine war, the average price of crude oil soared, as Russia is the world's second largest crude oil exporter after Saudi Arabia. In 2022, the average price of PP will decrease to around RMB 8254.5 per ton, mainly due to the release of more production capacity and stable supply and demand of PP. In 2022, the average price range for PP disposable plastic fast food boxes is between RMB 0.06 and RMB 1.65 per box. In the future, the average price of PP is expected to remain relatively stable, with a compound annual growth rate of about 0.7% from 2022 to 2027, and will reach approximately RMB 8551.0 per ton by 2027.

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